Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | CAM -1000 NCAT +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +2 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -9.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -6.8 (-4.8) | 143.7 (-17.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -6.4 (-4.4) | 144.1 (-18.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -7.8 (-5.8) | 143.4 (-17.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -7.2 (-5.2) | 144.7 (-18.7) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CAM 90 – 72 NCAT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CAM 79 – 71 NCAT |
| Feb 21, 2025 | NCAT 53 – 50 CAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | CAM 66 – 62 NCAT |
| Jan 5, 2024 | NCAT 76 – 62 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 4-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L10 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 77.9 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#299) | -13.5 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#299) | -1.78 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#296) | -2.32 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#312) | 0.434 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.