Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | TULN -138 UAB +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | TULN -4.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -2.3 (-13.3) | 163.0 (-18.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -0.1 (-11.1) | 160.6 (-15.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -2.3 (-13.3) | 159.7 (-14.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -2.1 (-13.1) | 160.2 (-15.2) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | TULN 55 – 54 UAB |
| Jan 15, 2026 | UAB 82 – 69 TULN |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TULN 85 – 68 UAB |
| Jan 8, 2025 | UAB 81 – 69 TULN |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UAB 83 – 69 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#122) | 2.5 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#154) | 1.14 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#144) | 1.13 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#185) | 0.568 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 34.4% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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