Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -133 TULN +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -3.1 (+17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -1.5 (+15.5) | 164.6 (-12.6) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -0.5 (+14.5) | 162.0 (-10.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -1.7 (+15.7) | 160.4 (-8.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -2.2 (+16.2) | 162.5 (-10.5) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | TULN 55 – 54 UAB |
| Jan 15, 2026 | UAB 82 – 69 TULN |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TULN 85 – 68 UAB |
| Jan 8, 2025 | UAB 81 – 69 TULN |
| Feb 25, 2024 | UAB 78 – 67 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#189) | 5.6 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#130) | 0.68 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#153) | 1.13 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#116) | 0.520 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 50.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 19.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 36.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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