Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -400 TULN +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +12 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -4.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -2.4 (+9.6) | 155.0 (-5.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -4.5 (+7.5) | 153.1 (-3.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -2.3 (+9.7) | 152.9 (-2.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -2.8 (+9.2) | 153.2 (-3.2) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | TULN 55 – 54 UAB |
| Jan 15, 2026 | UAB 82 – 69 TULN |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TULN 85 – 68 UAB |
| Feb 25, 2024 | UAB 78 – 67 TULN |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UAB 83 – 69 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#144) | 0.9 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#283) | -1.10 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#266) | -1.00 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#305) | 0.428 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.