Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -225 WIU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +9 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -6.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -3.2 (-12.2) | 148.9 (-11.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -2.2 (-11.2) | 151.9 (-14.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -2.6 (-11.6) | 149.3 (-12.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -3.2 (-12.2) | 151.0 (-14.0) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UTM 84 – 44 WIU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UTM 67 – 60 WIU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTM 81 – 70 WIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UTM 85 – 83 WIU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | UTM 62 – 59 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#229) | -5.3 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#232) | -0.37 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#238) | -0.35 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#227) | 0.475 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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