Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | WIU -120 UTM +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +2 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -0.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (+34.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -0.4 (-2.4) | 133.8 (+34.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -1.1 (-0.9) | 134.8 (+33.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -0.2 (-2.2) | 135.2 (+32.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -0.1 (-1.9) | 135.8 (+32.2) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UTM 84 – 44 WIU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UTM 67 – 60 WIU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTM 81 – 70 WIU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | UTM 62 – 59 WIU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | WIU 73 – 64 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#312) | -5.2 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#273) | -1.43 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#311) | -1.76 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#297) | 0.427 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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