Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WIU -150 UTM +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +3 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -2.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -1.3 (-4.3) | 145.0 (-24.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -1.9 (-4.9) | 142.9 (-21.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -1.6 (-4.6) | 141.4 (-20.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -1.8 (-4.8) | 143.2 (-22.2) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UTM 84 – 44 WIU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UTM 67 – 60 WIU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTM 81 – 70 WIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UTM 85 – 83 WIU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | WIU 73 – 64 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 10-6 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 77.9 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#252) | -3.7 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#204) | -0.32 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#185) | -0.55 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#177) | 0.499 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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