Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UTA -120 SEA +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +5 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -0.6 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -1.4 (+6.4) | 141.6 (+13.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -1.3 (+6.3) | 143.9 (+11.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -1.2 (+6.2) | 143.9 (+11.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -1.2 (+6.2) | 142.1 (+12.9) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2025 | SEA 67 – 65 UTA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UTA 65 – 56 SEA |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTA 82 – 62 SEA |
| Mar 4, 2023 | SEA 80 – 56 UTA |
| Jan 7, 2023 | SEA 76 – 61 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#192) | 3.4 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#209) | 0.03 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#205) | 0.68 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#178) | 0.489 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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