Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UTA -105 SEA -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +9 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -0.9 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (-30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -0.8 (+9.8) | 143.0 (-22.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -0.0 (+9.0) | 142.6 (-21.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -1.1 (+10.1) | 144.7 (-23.7) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -0.7 (+9.7) | 143.6 (-22.6) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2025 | SEA 67 – 65 UTA |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTA 82 – 62 SEA |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UTA 80 – 75 SEA |
| Mar 4, 2023 | SEA 80 – 56 UTA |
| Jan 7, 2023 | SEA 76 – 61 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 8-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#216) | 1.3 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#275) | -0.45 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#259) | -0.20 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#279) | 0.481 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.2% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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