Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | UTA +140 SEA -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +15 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -2.4 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -2.9 (-12.1) | 134.4 (+2.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -3.7 (-11.3) | 135.3 (+1.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -3.4 (-11.6) | 135.9 (+1.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -2.5 (-12.5) | 135.7 (+1.3) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2025 | SEA 67 – 65 UTA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UTA 65 – 56 SEA |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTA 82 – 62 SEA |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UTA 80 – 75 SEA |
| Mar 4, 2023 | SEA 80 – 56 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.9 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#257) | 1.6 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#300) | 0.94 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#301) | 0.88 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#262) | 0.548 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.1% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.