Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -225 UTA +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +20 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -7.1 (-27.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -5.8 (-25.8) | 145.9 (-1.9) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -6.5 (-26.5) | 144.8 (-0.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -6.0 (-26.0) | 146.0 (-2.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -6.1 (-26.1) | 147.4 (-3.4) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2025 | SEA 67 – 65 UTA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UTA 65 – 56 SEA |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UTA 80 – 75 SEA |
| Mar 4, 2023 | SEA 80 – 56 UTA |
| Jan 7, 2023 | SEA 76 – 61 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#113) | 0.4 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#131) | 0.05 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#119) | 0.26 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#125) | 0.507 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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