Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | JXST +138 LT -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +17 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -1.7 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -1.5 (-15.5) | 130.9 (+0.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -2.3 (-14.7) | 129.4 (+1.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -1.7 (-15.3) | 131.0 (+0.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -1.2 (-15.8) | 129.7 (+1.3) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | LT 77 – 71 JXST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | JXST 64 – 60 LT |
| Feb 15, 2025 | JXST 70 – 68 LT |
| Jan 17, 2025 | JXST 63 – 61 LT |
| Feb 16, 2024 | LT 63 – 58 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 12-4 |
| Home | 8-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#158) | 5.9 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#231) | 0.94 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#170) | 1.51 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#218) | 0.563 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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