Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -205 LT +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +4 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -4.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -3.1 (+0.9) | 128.1 (-4.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -3.2 (+0.8) | 128.3 (-4.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -2.5 (+1.5) | 124.9 (-0.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -2.8 (+1.2) | 126.6 (-2.6) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | LT 77 – 71 JXST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | JXST 70 – 68 LT |
| Jan 17, 2025 | JXST 63 – 61 LT |
| Feb 16, 2024 | LT 63 – 58 JXST |
| Jan 20, 2024 | LT 74 – 57 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#240) | -5.8 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#252) | -0.37 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#241) | -1.00 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#260) | 0.464 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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