Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -300 ECU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +15 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -10.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -8.0 (+7.0) | 131.3 (-12.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -8.1 (+6.9) | 132.0 (-13.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -8.3 (+6.7) | 129.9 (-10.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -8.6 (+6.4) | 128.6 (-9.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CLT 68 – 56 ECU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CLT 73 – 70 ECU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | ECU 78 – 76 CLT |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ECU 75 – 59 CLT |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CLT 82 – 72 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#102) | -1.5 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#95) | -0.41 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#100) | -0.46 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#65) | 0.476 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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