Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CLT +130 ECU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +16 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | ECU -1.7 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -0.9 (-15.1) | 146.4 (-12.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -1.3 (-14.7) | 146.7 (-12.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -1.3 (-14.7) | 144.4 (-10.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -1.1 (-14.9) | 144.8 (-10.8) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CLT 68 – 56 ECU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CLT 73 – 70 ECU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | ECU 78 – 76 CLT |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CLT 82 – 72 ECU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CLT 67 – 52 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-6 |
| Away | 1-12 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#250) | -0.4 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#264) | -0.03 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#258) | -0.33 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#279) | 0.496 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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