Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | ECU -650 CLT +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | ECU -8.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -7.8 (-5.8) | 146.7 (+7.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -6.6 (-4.6) | 145.3 (+8.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -8.4 (-6.4) | 145.7 (+8.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -7.9 (-5.9) | 147.1 (+6.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CLT 68 – 56 ECU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CLT 73 – 70 ECU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ECU 75 – 59 CLT |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CLT 82 – 72 ECU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CLT 67 – 52 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#158) | -5.6 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#168) | -1.00 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#181) | -1.17 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#184) | 0.444 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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