Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -198 ECU +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +12 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -8.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -6.7 (+5.3) | 146.8 (-22.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -6.5 (+5.5) | 145.1 (-21.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -7.5 (+4.5) | 144.5 (-20.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -6.3 (+5.7) | 145.7 (-21.7) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | CLT 73 – 70 ECU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | ECU 78 – 76 CLT |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ECU 75 – 59 CLT |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CLT 82 – 72 ECU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CLT 67 – 52 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-10 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#180) | -6.4 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#192) | -1.16 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#197) | -1.63 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#204) | 0.457 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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