Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | JXST -154 SHSU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -4.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -3.1 (+7.9) | 134.4 (+12.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -2.5 (+8.5) | 130.4 (+16.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -2.6 (+8.4) | 132.6 (+14.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -2.4 (+8.6) | 133.7 (+13.3) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SHSU 82 – 78 JXST |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SHSU 77 – 62 JXST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SHSU 66 – 61 JXST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | JXST 70 – 62 SHSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SHSU 81 – 73 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 13-3 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#180) | -2.2 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#244) | 0.23 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#197) | -0.00 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#260) | 0.518 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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