Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU -300 JXST +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -5.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (+21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -6.1 (+1.9) | 132.5 (+21.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -7.4 (+0.6) | 133.0 (+21.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -7.0 (+1.0) | 132.9 (+21.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -6.3 (+1.7) | 134.4 (+19.6) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SHSU 82 – 78 JXST |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SHSU 77 – 62 JXST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SHSU 66 – 61 JXST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | JXST 70 – 62 SHSU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | JXST 79 – 68 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#162) | -1.7 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#123) | -0.77 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#137) | -0.43 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#106) | 0.457 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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