Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU -325 JXST +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +4 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -10.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -10.0 (-6.0) | 142.7 (+17.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -8.2 (-4.2) | 139.2 (+20.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -9.2 (-5.2) | 140.6 (+19.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -9.1 (-5.1) | 141.2 (+18.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SHSU 77 – 62 JXST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SHSU 66 – 61 JXST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | JXST 70 – 62 SHSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SHSU 81 – 73 JXST |
| Feb 9, 2024 | JXST 79 – 68 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#110) | -3.0 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#97) | -0.66 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#97) | -0.72 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#74) | 0.475 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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