Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -135 SHSU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -6.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -4.4 (+3.6) | 150.1 (-18.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -3.3 (+4.7) | 145.5 (-13.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -4.5 (+3.5) | 149.7 (-17.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -5.1 (+2.9) | 150.3 (-18.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SHSU 82 – 78 JXST |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SHSU 77 – 62 JXST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SHSU 66 – 61 JXST |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SHSU 81 – 73 JXST |
| Feb 9, 2024 | JXST 79 – 68 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#151) | -1.5 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#160) | -0.35 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#161) | -0.16 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#121) | 0.492 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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