Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -2500 SUU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -12.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -12.0 (-1.0) | 149.2 (+3.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -13.9 (-2.9) | 149.6 (+3.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -12.1 (-1.1) | 150.4 (+2.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -11.8 (-0.8) | 148.6 (+4.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2025 | GCU 74 – 59 SUU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | GCU 94 – 65 SUU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | GCU 96 – 75 SUU |
| Mar 12, 2023 | GCU 84 – 66 SUU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | GCU 83 – 78 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 4-12 |
| Home | 16-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-4 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#106) | -3.7 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#101) | -0.50 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#115) | -0.50 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#106) | 0.480 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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