Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | VT -8.8 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.9 (+23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -7.7 (+2.7) | 130.9 (+16.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -7.1 (+2.1) | 130.2 (+16.8) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -6.0 (+1.0) | 132.6 (+14.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -7.0 (+2.0) | 133.0 (+14.0) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | PITT 64 – 59 VT |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PITT 79 – 64 VT |
| Feb 18, 2023 | VT 79 – 72 PITT |
| Feb 8, 2022 | VT 74 – 47 PITT |
| Feb 4, 2021 | PITT 83 – 72 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-11 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#194) | 10.8 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#189) | 0.92 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#195) | 1.48 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#210) | 0.540 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 41.1% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.