Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +27 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | VT -14.8 (+12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -12.5 (+14.5) | 131.2 (-10.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -11.2 (+15.8) | 127.8 (-6.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -11.9 (+15.1) | 134.6 (-13.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -11.4 (+15.6) | 134.8 (-13.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | PITT 64 – 59 VT |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PITT 79 – 64 VT |
| Feb 18, 2023 | VT 79 – 72 PITT |
| Feb 6, 2022 | VT 76 – 71 PITT |
| Feb 4, 2021 | PITT 83 – 72 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-11 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#40) | -0.9 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#101) | -0.22 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#86) | -0.26 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#96) | 0.472 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 41.7% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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