Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | FDU -250 LEM +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +4 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | FDU -7.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -5.7 (-1.7) | 151.7 (+0.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -5.2 (-1.2) | 154.1 (-2.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -5.6 (-1.6) | 149.5 (+2.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -5.3 (-1.3) | 151.5 (+0.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | LEM 76 – 59 FDU |
| Jan 26, 2026 | LEM 87 – 74 FDU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | FDU 91 – 86 LEM |
| Mar 7, 2024 | LEM 82 – 61 FDU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FDU 68 – 58 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 4-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-15 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 81.4 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#309) | -13.7 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#296) | -1.86 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#295) | -2.62 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#300) | 0.407 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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