Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SFA +115 AMCC -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFA +14 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -3.6 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -3.1 (+17.1) | 137.3 (+4.7) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -1.6 (+15.6) | 137.9 (+4.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -2.3 (+16.3) | 136.7 (+5.3) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -2.6 (+16.6) | 138.0 (+4.0) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SFA 60 – 58 AMCC |
| Feb 17, 2026 | SFA 78 – 68 AMCC |
| Dec 18, 2025 | SFA 69 – 60 AMCC |
| Dec 7, 2024 | AMCC 67 – 48 SFA |
| Feb 11, 2021 | SFA 80 – 68 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-8 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#259) | 0.6 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#293) | -0.25 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#279) | -0.18 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#280) | 0.494 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 24.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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