Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SFA -285 AMCC +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFA +9 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | SFA -11.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFA -8.6 (+0.4) | 138.8 (-9.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFA -9.2 (-0.2) | 136.6 (-7.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFA -9.6 (-0.6) | 136.3 (-7.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFA -9.1 (-0.1) | 136.2 (-7.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SFA 60 – 58 AMCC |
| Feb 17, 2026 | SFA 78 – 68 AMCC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SFA 78 – 64 AMCC |
| Dec 7, 2024 | AMCC 67 – 48 SFA |
| Feb 11, 2021 | SFA 80 – 68 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 20-2 | 13-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 12-4 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#100) | -2.1 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#94) | -0.07 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#89) | -0.16 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#107) | 0.535 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 36.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.