Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU -185 MTSU +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +8 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -6.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -6.5 (+1.5) | 151.2 (-3.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -5.5 (+2.5) | 148.6 (-0.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -6.0 (+2.0) | 147.6 (+0.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -6.3 (+1.7) | 149.4 (-1.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | MTSU 68 – 67 SHSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MTSU 74 – 70 SHSU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | MTSU 77 – 75 SHSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | SHSU 81 – 64 MTSU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SHSU 60 – 51 MTSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#110) | 0.4 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#100) | -0.30 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#99) | -0.31 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#78) | 0.516 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.