Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -130 MEM +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +11 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -4.3 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -3.6 (+7.4) | 144.9 (+22.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -2.4 (+8.6) | 144.4 (+22.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -3.4 (+7.6) | 144.1 (+22.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -3.8 (+7.2) | 144.4 (+22.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | MEM 92 – 65 FAU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | MEM 84 – 65 FAU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MEM 90 – 62 FAU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | FAU 92 – 84 MEM |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MEM 78 – 74 FAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#96) | 6.0 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#91) | 0.72 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#93) | 1.01 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#54) | 0.533 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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