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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–3 on winners
spread MAE 10.2
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgetown
@
Seton Hall
|
-3.9 | 119.9 | 36% | 61–60 | ✓ |
North Alabama
@
Loyola Marymount
|
-0.8 | 140.4 | 47% | 69–85 | ✗ |
Utah State
@
Saint Mary's
|
+1.6 | 146.4 | 56% | 75–68 | ✗ |
Nebraska
@
Murray State
|
-5.2 | 141.2 | 32% | 66–49 | ✓ |
Charlotte
@
Hawai'i
|
+5.6 | 140.9 | 69% | 61–78 | ✓ |
Charleston
@
Loyola Chicago
|
+1.0 | 151.0 | 54% | 77–68 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.