But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–9 on winners spread MAE 9.4 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Akron @ Jackson State -8.8 157.7 21% 68–50 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Elon +4.9 127.3 67% 69–73 ✓
Kansas State @ Wichita State +1.4 154.6 55% 65–84 ✓
Oregon @ Stanford -7.3 151.9 25% 76–61 ✓
Bucknell @ Gonzaga +35.4 157.4 100% 65–86 ✓
Yale @ UTEP -0.6 147.0 48% 74–75 ✗
Cal Poly @ Omaha -2.3 164.4 42% 82–86 ✗
UC San Diego @ San Diego -15.7 137.8 8% 77–71 ✓
Utah Valley @ Weber State -0.7 143.2 48% 64–62 ✓
Portland State @ Cal State Bakersfield +7.8 154.6 76% 59–58 ✗
San Diego State @ California -6.8 150.2 27% 71–50 ✓
Kennesaw State @ San José State +1.9 153.7 57% 65–89 ✓
Illinois State @ Cornell +7.7 159.6 76% 80–77 ✗
Morgan State @ Iowa State +41.8 163.4 100% 72–99 ✓
Kent State @ Alabama +17.7 147.9 95% 54–81 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Oklahoma +27.8 149.8 99% 66–89 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Michigan +15.9 163.1 93% 58–89 ✓
New Hampshire @ Stonehill +12.3 131.3 87% 83–90 ✓
Bryant @ Towson -1.1 148.2 46% 65–70 ✗
Binghamton @ Army +8.0 154.2 77% 78–68 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Miami (OH) +6.2 148.9 71% 76–94 ✓
Illinois @ Missouri -5.8 157.6 30% 80–77 ✓
Iona @ Colgate +5.8 135.0 70% 79–73 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Missouri State -0.5 144.7 48% 56–68 ✗
Pennsylvania @ George Mason +22.2 135.2 98% 53–85 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Wisconsin +26.0 150.8 99% 53–76 ✓
Radford @ South Carolina +11.0 139.5 84% 48–74 ✓
Mercyhurst @ West Virginia +29.9 136.2 100% 46–67 ✓
Montana State @ TCU +6.8 137.1 73% 48–82 ✓
American University @ Virginia +12.8 118.2 88% 58–63 ✓
William & Mary @ VCU +17.7 155.5 95% 70–90 ✓
Brown @ Kansas +19.5 145.4 96% 53–87 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Rice +13.8 164.0 90% 46–64 ✓
Alcorn State @ UAB +17.6 156.2 95% 74–91 ✓
McNeese @ Louisiana -13.3 141.0 11% 64–56 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Oklahoma State +17.4 153.8 94% 74–86 ✓
Oregon State @ Charleston -13.4 144.2 11% 74–65 ✓
Houston Christian @ North Texas +20.4 125.8 97% 46–62 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ LSU +28.2 152.5 99% 70–86 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Georgia +26.9 144.4 99% 65–81 ✓
Grambling @ Cincinnati +23.8 131.2 98% 49–84 ✓
Southern @ USC +10.5 142.2 83% 51–82 ✓
Saint Louis @ Grand Canyon +9.4 158.6 80% 72–73 ✓
Rider @ NC State +17.0 128.7 94% 63–89 ✓
Wyoming @ Cal State Fullerton -3.4 129.2 38% 73–69 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Oakland -6.8 130.9 27% 71–72 ✗
Le Moyne @ Notre Dame +18.3 148.0 95% 62–91 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.