Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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46–5 on winners spread MAE 8.4 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Charleston Southern @ Longwood +7.6 145.7 82% 78–83 ✓
Texas Tech @ Utah -0.1 149.6 50% 93–65 ✓
Houston Christian @ Lamar +10.1 131.4 86% 61–63 ✓
Louisiana @ Georgia State +1.4 140.2 57% 70–94 ✓
Youngstown State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +5.8 150.8 65% 81–90 ✓
Campbell @ UNC Wilmington +9.0 142.4 79% 69–77 ✓
Hampton @ Elon +6.8 137.5 75% 62–70 ✓
Pepperdine @ Pacific -2.2 146.0 39% 87–70 ✓
San Francisco @ Washington State +2.5 148.6 68% 82–91 ✓
Ohio @ Central Michigan +0.1 148.3 54% 57–55 ✗
Texas @ Texas A&M +5.9 137.9 76% 60–80 ✓
Delaware State @ Howard +2.4 150.4 59% 94–100 ✓
Missouri State @ Bradley +12.3 143.5 87% 60–69 ✓
Michigan @ USC -4.7 144.8 38% 85–74 ✓
UT Arlington @ Tarleton State -6.3 139.5 33% 74–77 ✗
Southern Utah @ Grand Canyon +12.1 150.4 87% 71–82 ✓
Seattle U @ California Baptist +1.9 147.0 66% 59–61 ✓
Denver @ South Dakota +8.1 163.3 77% 84–91 ✓
California @ Clemson +13.2 150.2 87% 68–80 ✓
Gonzaga @ Loyola Marymount -11.1 148.4 17% 96–68 ✓
Fresno State @ Utah State +20.5 156.1 91% 83–89 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton -12.6 138.2 14% 90–51 ✓
Sam Houston @ UTEP +5.5 147.2 76% 72–81 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Bakersfield +5.6 134.4 72% 65–80 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Irvine +10.3 144.2 84% 57–81 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Portland -14.2 137.6 12% 81–58 ✓
Cal Poly @ Hawai'i +5.0 151.1 72% 55–68 ✓
Indiana @ Penn State +9.0 154.3 79% 77–71 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ East Carolina -2.3 153.3 42% 78–76 ✓
Army @ Boston University +3.9 140.1 67% 63–71 ✓
Lehigh @ Loyola Maryland +2.1 142.5 58% 74–80 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Wagner -1.4 126.3 32% 71–59 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Mercyhurst -6.4 131.0 22% 62–50 ✓
Providence @ UConn +12.9 136.7 88% 84–87 ✓
Northwestern @ Purdue +5.3 141.1 69% 61–79 ✓
Stonehill @ Saint Francis -0.5 144.5 43% 64–60 ✓
Lafayette @ Navy +0.9 140.7 56% 70–71 ✓
Holy Cross @ American University +0.3 139.0 52% 64–75 ✓
Colgate @ Bucknell +3.4 135.5 63% 60–66 ✓
Chicago State @ Long Island University +8.5 135.6 85% 39–53 ✓
Iona @ Siena +6.1 137.9 70% 74–73 ✗
Manhattan @ Rider -0.9 146.8 47% 80–79 ✓
Niagara @ Mount St. Mary's +5.8 138.5 75% 62–68 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Marist +3.0 137.6 65% 62–69 ✓
Canisius @ Sacred Heart +10.8 146.1 88% 82–99 ✓
Murray State @ Drake +10.5 127.8 79% 66–59 ✗
Kansas @ UCF -2.5 146.7 52% 99–48 ✓
Maryland @ Oregon +2.8 151.3 71% 79–83 ✓
Illinois @ Washington -7.4 154.0 20% 81–77 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Illinois State +11.3 147.1 83% 54–85 ✓
North Texas @ Memphis +9.0 135.9 80% 64–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.