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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–5 on winners spread MAE 7.7 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Georgetown @ UConn +11.3 136.9 85% 51–67 ✓
Southern @ Florida A&M -1.5 143.7 44% 73–70 ✓
UCLA @ Michigan State +4.0 138.8 66% 88–84 ✗
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley +5.9 131.1 70% 65–67 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Irvine +3.8 150.7 70% 78–93 ✓
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central +3.0 131.8 66% 53–59 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +3.3 145.6 65% 66–79 ✓
Clemson @ Duke +14.3 133.3 85% 61–73 ✓
Kansas @ Houston +3.4 135.1 68% 47–69 ✓
Oklahoma @ Arkansas +6.3 162.4 68% 79–82 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +4.9 140.4 72% 72–86 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +3.1 153.9 64% 63–78 ✓
New Mexico @ San Diego State +0.1 149.2 49% 62–64 ✓
Cornell @ Yale +8.5 154.5 74% 76–88 ✓
Vermont @ UMBC +4.8 138.5 70% 59–74 ✓
Wisconsin @ Michigan +10.8 158.8 85% 65–68 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Florida +5.3 159.3 68% 91–74 ✗
Dayton @ Saint Louis +5.0 144.0 66% 70–69 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Howard +10.7 139.0 85% 63–70 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Harvard -0.2 131.3 44% 62–60 ✓
Charlotte @ South Florida +10.9 151.7 86% 64–86 ✓
Ole Miss @ Arkansas +10.3 157.8 76% 90–93 ✓
Purdue @ UCLA -4.9 142.6 34% 73–66 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ VCU +6.8 141.7 74% 64–77 ✓
Tulsa @ Wichita State -2.6 150.7 41% 68–81 ✗
San Diego State @ Utah State +1.7 146.3 59% 62–73 ✓
Houston @ Arizona +3.2 139.8 61% 74–79 ✓
UConn @ St. John's +1.0 139.7 59% 52–72 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Southern +1.0 150.4 54% 72–66 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.