This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–14 on winners spread MAE 7.1 36 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Southern +2.3 154.5 62% 81–84 ✓
Southern Utah @ UT Arlington +6.1 136.0 74% 63–69 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Western Kentucky +1.9 154.9 58% 96–87 ✗
Colorado State @ San Diego State +3.7 141.3 64% 62–71 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Northridge -3.7 149.9 31% 70–80 ✗
Rutgers @ UCLA +10.5 142.4 82% 59–72 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ North Carolina Central -0.5 131.4 45% 76–83 ✗
Clemson @ North Carolina +2.0 135.7 61% 80–79 ✗
Georgetown @ Villanova +7.8 140.6 76% 78–64 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ North Texas -1.3 136.3 46% 70–74 ✗
TCU @ Kansas +2.8 143.0 59% 73–78 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas A&M +1.0 161.4 55% 83–63 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Utah Tech +2.5 141.9 59% 74–80 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton -0.7 154.5 45% 70–82 ✗
San José State @ New Mexico +12.8 146.6 87% 77–93 ✓
George Washington @ Saint Louis +6.9 155.4 75% 81–88 ✓
Ohio State @ Michigan +12.1 154.9 85% 67–71 ✓
Missouri State @ Louisiana Tech +0.8 135.2 55% 66–69 ✓
Kentucky @ Florida +8.2 154.4 79% 63–71 ✓
Charlotte @ UAB +3.6 144.5 71% 83–78 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama A&M -0.1 144.6 46% 74–55 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Dayton +5.2 141.1 73% 63–68 ✓
Wisconsin @ Illinois +6.7 155.8 75% 91–88 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Sam Houston +3.9 157.8 67% 79–73 ✗
North Texas @ Tulsa +8.4 138.0 75% 84–90 ✓
Tennessee @ Vanderbilt -0.1 148.9 49% 68–75 ✗
Massachusetts @ Toledo +2.8 155.5 66% 67–77 ✓
Duquesne @ VCU +8.6 148.8 82% 66–71 ✓
Seton Hall @ St. John's +9.9 135.1 84% 68–78 ✓
South Carolina State @ Howard +13.9 142.1 88% 61–78 ✓
Purdue @ Nebraska -1.2 140.8 49% 74–58 ✓
Iowa State @ Arizona +2.1 143.1 61% 80–82 ✓
Miami @ Virginia +1.6 143.5 55% 62–84 ✓
Ole Miss @ Alabama +11.2 162.3 82% 80–79 ✗
Kent State @ Akron +7.8 161.4 78% 68–75 ✓
Davidson @ Saint Joseph's -1.4 130.8 46% 58–70 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.