And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–3 on winners spread MAE 10.0 19 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UT Martin @ Alabama State +6.0 140.1 69% 93–103 ✓
Marshall @ Wright State +8.0 144.1 78% 79–88 ✓
NJIT @ Delaware State +5.7 139.5 62% 59–71 ✓
Maine @ Duquesne +1.4 133.0 56% 61–56 ✗
Dartmouth @ Notre Dame +15.0 140.6 86% 65–77 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Villanova +27.8 151.7 91% 72–86 ✓
Bryant @ St. John's +15.4 156.6 88% 77–99 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Purdue Fort Wayne +11.9 150.5 85% 76–78 ✓
Milwaukee @ Green Bay -3.3 152.1 30% 88–67 ✓
North Alabama @ East Carolina +4.9 139.9 70% 74–67 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Pittsburgh +19.5 149.1 87% 56–96 ✓
UTEP @ Louisville +12.6 141.2 86% 74–77 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ UL Monroe +10.6 148.6 86% 73–89 ✓
Colgate @ Kentucky +31.8 152.4 91% 67–78 ✓
North Dakota @ Utah Valley +8.0 145.9 76% 57–80 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Louisiana -4.8 140.8 32% 61–68 ✗
Fresno State @ BYU +19.2 152.7 89% 67–95 ✓
California Baptist @ San Diego State +16.9 142.9 87% 75–81 ✓
South Dakota State @ Nevada +7.5 136.4 75% 63–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.