Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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44–8 on winners spread MAE 6.6 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ole Miss @ Auburn +13.1 157.4 88% 76–106 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Texas A&M +6.5 143.9 75% 86–84 ✗
Notre Dame @ Clemson +13.9 146.6 88% 68–83 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ High Point +19.5 163.0 91% 66–88 ✓
Radford @ Gardner-Webb -0.3 147.4 46% 63–56 ✓
Kansas State @ UCF +1.8 154.2 58% 76–80 ✓
South Florida @ Temple +4.4 154.5 69% 71–73 ✓
NC State @ Syracuse +1.3 148.5 61% 60–74 ✓
Fordham @ George Mason +13.0 138.1 87% 64–74 ✓
Dayton @ Rhode Island -0.8 150.7 44% 85–77 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Joseph's +6.1 132.8 75% 64–75 ✓
UIC @ Northern Iowa +6.3 143.9 78% 52–74 ✓
Bucknell @ Loyola Maryland -3.0 144.6 32% 70–67 ✓
Holy Cross @ Colgate +5.0 146.5 75% 73–81 ✓
Navy @ American University +5.0 133.3 69% 68–60 ✗
Queens University @ North Alabama +8.7 153.1 83% 69–74 ✓
Stetson @ Jacksonville +12.3 144.2 88% 72–79 ✓
Bellarmine @ Florida Gulf Coast +12.6 150.8 87% 61–80 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Florida -0.5 162.7 52% 86–81 ✓
Austin Peay @ West Georgia -3.9 145.1 39% 70–73 ✗
Wofford @ Western Carolina -10.5 143.4 19% 90–67 ✓
The Citadel @ Furman +14.9 141.3 88% 42–85 ✓
Charlotte @ Tulane +7.1 143.3 77% 64–78 ✓
Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina -0.4 146.9 45% 74–80 ✗
Rice @ Memphis +14.6 151.0 88% 72–84 ✓
George Washington @ Loyola Chicago +1.6 140.4 62% 57–77 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Maryland Eastern Shore -7.3 142.1 24% 59–68 ✗
Drake @ Evansville -8.7 130.6 15% 65–61 ✓
Belmont @ Missouri State -0.6 147.9 44% 74–65 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Lipscomb +20.1 147.0 91% 60–78 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota State +9.5 167.0 83% 78–82 ✓
Penn State @ Indiana +4.6 147.0 74% 78–83 ✓
Villanova @ Seton Hall -9.7 133.5 19% 59–54 ✓
South Alabama @ Southern Miss -6.6 143.9 26% 88–82 ✓
Arkansas State @ Louisiana -10.7 143.1 16% 83–64 ✓
St. John's @ Butler -3.3 148.9 32% 76–70 ✓
Kentucky @ Oklahoma -2.4 160.6 38% 83–82 ✓
Utah @ Arizona +12.0 152.4 86% 66–83 ✓
Virginia @ Wake Forest +6.1 131.3 71% 83–75 ✗
Boston College @ Stanford +10.2 144.8 84% 60–78 ✓
Bradley @ Valparaiso -5.8 151.2 29% 76–65 ✓
DePaul @ Creighton +12.6 144.0 88% 65–75 ✓
Texas @ Arkansas +4.6 147.7 73% 81–86 ✓
BYU @ Arizona State -1.9 152.4 43% 91–81 ✓
Utah State @ Boise State +2.4 148.5 60% 65–82 ✓
Ohio State @ USC -1.3 152.6 40% 87–82 ✓
SMU @ California -5.8 155.2 30% 81–77 ✓
San Francisco @ Oregon State +1.0 142.7 55% 74–72 ✗
Bryant @ UMass Lowell -2.1 158.4 41% 79–78 ✓
UAlbany @ UMBC +1.3 156.7 56% 78–74 ✗
Samford @ VMI -7.5 148.7 23% 95–83 ✓
Robert Morris @ IU Indianapolis -6.6 149.7 23% 82–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.