That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
44–5 on winners spread MAE 10.3 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida State @ Duke +21.6 149.7 91% 65–100 ✓
Boise State @ Fresno State -15.5 146.0 13% 66–61 ✓
Arizona State @ Utah +3.4 150.0 65% 73–99 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi Valley State -5.4 137.4 17% 83–58 ✓
McNeese @ Lamar -5.0 134.1 24% 68–66 ✓
Oakland @ Green Bay -4.5 146.7 33% 87–84 ✓
Delaware @ UNC Wilmington +11.6 155.7 87% 58–88 ✓
Marquette @ Georgetown -4.1 141.8 34% 76–61 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Baylor +11.7 149.8 87% 61–71 ✓
San Diego State @ Wyoming -8.8 132.9 16% 72–69 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Northridge +5.3 146.3 75% 77–103 ✓
Georgia @ Texas +2.7 147.2 55% 83–67 ✗
Santa Clara @ Pacific -14.1 150.0 15% 97–66 ✓
Kansas City @ St. Thomas +9.2 144.1 83% 59–65 ✓
Texas A&M @ Florida +10.2 144.1 85% 70–89 ✓
Arizona @ Iowa State +3.9 151.7 74% 67–84 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Tech -4.8 146.8 36% 61–57 ✓
Oregon State @ Saint Mary's +10.5 135.2 85% 64–74 ✓
West Virginia @ BYU +6.2 140.0 79% 56–77 ✓
Boston College @ California +5.8 145.9 79% 71–82 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona -2.8 153.0 38% 83–73 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego +31.6 141.4 91% 55–100 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Irvine +18.6 138.0 90% 60–70 ✓
Portland @ San Diego -1.1 155.8 53% 80–82 ✗
Washington State @ Pepperdine -4.1 157.9 34% 90–83 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Seattle U -0.5 140.3 46% 63–60 ✓
Gonzaga @ San Francisco -7.8 150.7 21% 95–75 ✓
UC Davis @ Hawai'i +2.1 133.5 58% 70–78 ✓
Charlotte @ East Carolina +7.9 147.1 80% 76–78 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ South Florida -1.6 152.8 47% 69–63 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Indiana State +0.8 156.3 52% 77–95 ✓
Iona @ Canisius -4.4 141.8 30% 82–52 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Liberty +10.3 135.1 82% 85–80 ✗
Wisconsin @ Michigan State +4.9 146.0 70% 62–71 ✓
Manhattan @ Niagara -0.5 146.1 48% 85–70 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Bradley +3.8 142.4 68% 56–73 ✓
Princeton @ Cornell +4.2 151.5 68% 70–102 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Marist +4.8 126.8 65% 57–52 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Merrimack +1.2 138.2 58% 63–73 ✓
Fairfield @ Sacred Heart +5.6 145.1 76% 62–83 ✓
Siena @ Mount St. Mary's +1.0 144.1 61% 79–85 ✓
Evansville @ Illinois State +9.3 142.9 81% 53–62 ✓
Valparaiso @ UIC +5.9 151.4 77% 73–77 ✓
Murray State @ Belmont +3.5 152.2 62% 60–70 ✓
Missouri State @ Drake +12.9 127.3 87% 60–68 ✓
Illinois @ Michigan +3.0 156.3 69% 93–73 ✗
Memphis @ UAB -2.7 160.4 33% 88–81 ✓
Colorado @ Kansas State +5.8 139.5 75% 56–65 ✓
Rice @ UTSA +0.2 149.7 54% 56–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.