Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -1400 MOST +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +8 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -14.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -12.6 (-4.6) | 125.5 (+2.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -13.3 (-5.3) | 120.1 (+7.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -12.5 (-4.5) | 126.8 (+1.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -12.9 (-4.9) | 127.3 (+0.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2025 | DRKE 69 – 62 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2024 | MOST 83 – 80 DRKE |
| Dec 2, 2023 | DRKE 74 – 57 MOST |
| Jan 19, 2023 | MOST 65 – 62 DRKE |
| Jan 1, 2023 | MOST 52 – 49 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 9-1 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#75) | -3.7 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#26) | -1.16 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#35) | -1.04 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#34) | 0.434 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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