I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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18–7 on winners spread MAE 13.6 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Indiana State @ SIU Edwardsville +22.2 145.1 88% 64–55 ✗
South Carolina State @ North Carolina A&T +8.6 146.5 79% 62–85 ✓
Presbyterian @ Georgia State +15.1 124.7 87% 63–61 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Eastern Kentucky — — — 87–79 —
Fairfield @ Seton Hall -3.8 127.2 34% 59–82 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Kent State — — — 77–86 —
Charleston Southern @ The Citadel +6.0 130.5 62% 96–86 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Pittsburgh +11.3 129.9 76% 66–78 ✓
Stetson @ Miami +31.1 147.4 91% 61–102 ✓
Mississippi State @ Iowa State +6.9 137.9 72% 80–96 ✓
Little Rock @ Milwaukee — — — 72–92 —
Lindenwood @ Saint Louis +27.5 150.9 90% 66–109 ✓
Lamar @ TCU — — — 65–78 —
LSU New Orleans @ LSU +13.5 140.8 76% 58–93 ✓
Cleveland State @ Northwestern +19.0 138.0 83% 63–110 ✓
Santa Clara @ Xavier +7.1 138.4 76% 87–68 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Grand Canyon +4.4 158.7 69% 59–88 ✓
Holy Cross @ Utah +12.5 151.5 84% 69–87 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Georgia Tech +13.2 127.9 86% 60–70 ✓
St. Thomas @ Washington State +5.9 146.3 73% 71–81 ✓
West Georgia @ UCLA +14.8 136.4 85% 62–83 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ California +15.8 145.5 86% 65–93 ✓
Iona @ Kansas City +2.7 151.2 60% 105–91 ✗
Long Island University @ Air Force -3.9 137.7 38% 76–72 ✓
UMBC @ Morgan State +4.3 149.2 55% 81–79 ✗
Wake Forest @ Michigan +6.1 147.7 70% 84–85 ✓
App State @ Ohio State +11.7 148.4 82% 53–75 ✓
Lipscomb @ UNC Asheville +13.3 149.4 85% 64–69 ✓
Navy @ Penn State +29.1 142.6 90% 71–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.