I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–9 on winners spread MAE 7.6 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Texas Tech @ Colorado -3.8 155.1 34% 73–71 ✓
San Diego @ Pacific +7.7 144.6 80% 70–77 ✓
Southern @ Florida A&M +0.6 148.7 57% 59–67 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State +3.7 144.4 68% 75–81 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton +2.7 163.6 70% 79–86 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Lamar -0.1 137.8 46% 51–63 ✗
Campbell @ Elon +4.1 158.0 66% 82–83 ✓
Texas @ Alabama +12.6 169.1 88% 92–88 ✗
San Francisco @ Pepperdine -8.0 135.5 21% 80–60 ✓
Oregon State @ Portland +1.7 141.5 59% 76–82 ✓
Maryland @ UCLA +13.4 145.7 87% 55–67 ✓
San José State @ Grand Canyon +12.7 137.1 87% 58–76 ✓
St. Thomas @ Oral Roberts -6.4 143.5 23% 82–71 ✓
North Dakota @ Kansas City -0.4 145.3 48% 81–79 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Riverside -10.3 145.7 15% 69–66 ✓
Weber State @ Northern Colorado +5.0 158.7 73% 76–71 ✗
Idaho State @ Northern Arizona -4.2 137.4 34% 81–79 ✓
Southern Utah @ California Baptist +14.3 145.0 88% 55–58 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ New Mexico State +1.0 141.8 55% 59–55 ✗
Mississippi State @ Kentucky +10.6 151.7 85% 68–92 ✓
UT Martin @ Southern Indiana -7.2 133.0 22% 73–56 ✓
Utah State @ Boise State -2.6 146.8 44% 93–68 ✓
Wyoming @ Nevada +2.3 142.5 58% 83–92 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Santa Clara +12.1 146.4 86% 72–103 ✓
BYU @ Utah -14.4 157.4 13% 89–84 ✓
Fresno State @ San Diego State +10.4 146.3 83% 52–71 ✓
UC Irvine @ Hawai'i +7.2 135.6 72% 66–67 ✓
Illinois @ Iowa +1.5 139.9 50% 75–69 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Richmond +11.6 148.7 85% 67–65 ✗
Memphis @ Florida Atlantic +3.8 144.4 68% 78–89 ✓
Cleveland State @ Detroit Mercy +7.6 153.8 81% 84–94 ✓
Canisius @ Iona +11.0 138.0 85% 48–74 ✓
Charlotte @ Rice -3.0 144.8 39% 74–73 ✓
UAB @ East Carolina -9.7 145.9 16% 87–85 ✓
Merrimack @ Saint Peter's +2.0 130.0 57% 63–76 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Sacred Heart -5.2 145.8 30% 70–60 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Green Bay +0.6 145.4 54% 78–80 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Robert Morris +4.6 144.9 69% 79–74 ✗
Siena @ Mount St. Mary's -3.5 134.0 37% 67–50 ✓
Marist @ Rider -13.5 124.9 13% 71–49 ✓
Niagara @ Manhattan +6.0 139.7 79% 70–79 ✓
North Texas @ Wichita State +7.5 130.2 75% 67–78 ✓
Wright State @ Oakland +4.6 154.7 64% 94–84 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Milwaukee +9.6 155.2 84% 83–95 ✓
Cincinnati @ UCF +7.4 141.9 75% 72–73 ✓
Northwestern @ Rutgers -5.7 142.2 30% 75–77 ✗
Ohio State @ Washington +1.3 148.3 57% 74–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.