And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–23 on winners spread MAE 9.0 60 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ole Miss @ Georgia +13.6 156.6 87% 97–95 ✗
Illinois State @ Indiana State -8.3 138.5 21% 89–94 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Joseph's -2.3 146.9 40% 64–68 ✗
La Salle @ Richmond +9.2 143.3 82% 53–74 ✓
Davidson @ George Washington +12.3 146.8 86% 84–79 ✗
East Carolina @ South Florida +18.5 154.3 90% 71–82 ✓
Tulsa @ Charlotte -5.7 151.2 30% 86–74 ✓
Colorado @ Cincinnati +3.5 144.0 66% 68–77 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Charleston Southern +6.2 147.1 75% 86–81 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Presbyterian -2.5 135.2 39% 70–71 ✗
Radford @ Gardner-Webb -8.4 155.3 16% 89–80 ✓
Iona @ Rider -11.3 134.0 15% 68–72 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech -0.1 143.2 44% 89–66 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac +6.9 136.2 75% 74–70 ✗
Colgate @ Loyola Maryland -7.4 147.1 23% 86–80 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Siena +8.8 135.4 76% 86–80 ✗
Niagara @ Canisius +4.6 134.7 69% 59–54 ✗
Manhattan @ Fairfield +6.6 151.0 76% 62–98 ✓
Furman @ Samford -2.4 143.4 40% 77–73 ✓
Southern Miss @ Troy +5.6 148.8 71% 65–91 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Marshall +8.3 144.5 81% 85–83 ✗
Auburn @ Missouri -1.8 154.2 46% 74–84 ✗
Kentucky @ LSU +2.0 152.9 64% 75–74 ✗
Florida International @ Kennesaw State +2.1 160.8 61% 86–89 ✓
Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State -2.1 143.9 41% 77–62 ✓
Lafayette @ Bucknell +2.7 134.2 48% 69–76 ✓
UAB @ Tulane -0.5 143.3 51% 82–69 ✓
Missouri State @ Western Kentucky +4.0 144.0 68% 72–87 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech -7.4 128.0 24% 58–59 ✗
San Diego State @ Wyoming +2.3 149.0 64% 74–57 ✗
Drake @ Southern Illinois +5.5 142.9 74% 76–73 ✗
Fordham @ Saint Louis +18.7 142.5 90% 56–78 ✓
Rice @ UTSA -4.3 137.3 29% 89–73 ✓
Temple @ Memphis +6.8 141.9 73% 53–55 ✓
UCF @ Kansas State -0.2 159.5 55% 82–73 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota State +6.8 149.7 77% 65–76 ✓
Louisiana @ Texas State +5.1 134.5 61% 54–59 ✓
Illinois @ Northwestern -9.8 142.8 22% 79–68 ✓
UCLA @ Penn State -2.6 145.7 44% 71–60 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Texas -4.6 163.7 28% 64–80 ✗
North Carolina @ Stanford -2.3 141.0 41% 90–95 ✗
Utah @ Texas Tech +16.3 153.4 88% 74–88 ✓
South Carolina @ Arkansas +10.6 154.3 84% 74–108 ✓
Portland @ Pepperdine -0.6 140.4 44% 63–67 ✗
Virginia Tech @ SMU +10.3 157.5 82% 76–77 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Denver +4.4 149.0 63% 87–98 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +11.1 150.5 85% 62–71 ✓
Pacific @ Santa Clara +12.7 149.2 87% 69–85 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Oregon State -0.7 139.4 49% 70–76 ✗
Arizona State @ Arizona +20.3 158.2 91% 82–89 ✓
Michigan @ Washington -11.7 154.9 16% 82–72 ✓
Duke @ California -9.4 143.9 22% 71–56 ✓
TCU @ BYU +13.0 150.9 87% 70–76 ✓
NJIT @ UMass Lowell +6.1 145.2 79% 73–64 ✗
UMBC @ Bryant -2.2 133.3 37% 74–79 ✗
Mercer @ VMI -11.8 150.4 15% 77–67 ✓
New Mexico State @ Liberty +7.3 143.0 77% 71–73 ✓
Robert Morris @ IU Indianapolis -5.2 157.6 34% 93–96 ✗
Binghamton @ UAlbany +8.7 141.7 82% 53–69 ✓
James Madison @ App State +2.1 134.2 63% 65–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.