I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–14 on winners spread MAE 8.3 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida @ Georgia -3.4 162.6 41% 86–66 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Clemson +8.2 137.3 75% 76–66 ✗
American University @ Lehigh -0.6 139.8 49% 82–90 ✗
UTSA @ East Carolina +9.5 140.5 81% 72–88 ✓
California @ Syracuse +1.8 144.1 58% 100–107 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lafayette +2.6 141.7 59% 68–54 ✗
Toledo @ Western Michigan -4.2 147.8 36% 90–79 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Kent State +6.3 142.3 77% 91–95 ✓
Buffalo @ Ball State -4.2 137.5 33% 63–53 ✓
VMI @ UNC Greensboro +9.1 149.9 78% 71–92 ✓
Wofford @ Samford +1.2 146.6 56% 80–97 ✓
Furman @ Mercer +3.8 149.1 67% 64–69 ✓
Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State +12.7 144.2 88% 61–73 ✓
Alabama @ Ole Miss -5.7 153.7 31% 93–74 ✓
West Georgia @ North Alabama -0.6 143.4 41% 82–73 ✓
North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast +10.4 157.5 86% 81–90 ✓
Jacksonville @ Stetson +0.0 141.4 48% 62–67 ✓
Austin Peay @ Queens University -0.3 156.6 46% 95–87 ✓
UTEP @ Jacksonville State +5.2 130.5 67% 69–64 ✗
UConn @ Butler -8.4 146.3 23% 80–70 ✓
Temple @ Tulane +0.1 144.1 49% 66–77 ✓
South Florida @ Wichita State +1.9 157.2 55% 66–58 ✗
Providence @ Seton Hall +5.9 149.0 72% 80–87 ✓
Marshall @ Old Dominion -3.7 150.1 35% 81–79 ✓
Bellarmine @ Central Arkansas +8.7 152.7 82% 76–84 ✓
Colorado @ Texas Tech +12.2 156.8 87% 44–78 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Rice -5.1 150.8 34% 73–81 ✗
UAB @ Tulsa +11.0 156.7 84% 68–63 ✗
North Dakota @ South Dakota +2.7 156.8 67% 72–71 ✗
Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois -5.8 141.0 28% 68–52 ✓
Troy @ Texas State -3.3 143.0 38% 62–74 ✗
UL Monroe @ Arkansas State +16.3 155.4 88% 70–103 ✓
App State @ Georgia Southern -2.0 137.5 33% 81–65 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Lipscomb +5.9 155.6 78% 61–75 ✓
Michigan @ Northwestern -12.7 149.2 15% 87–75 ✓
Cincinnati @ Kansas State -0.2 141.8 49% 91–62 ✓
Creighton @ DePaul +0.5 137.7 53% 71–72 ✓
Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech -3.1 150.9 38% 83–67 ✓
Stanford @ Boston College -3.0 133.5 38% 70–64 ✓
Tennessee @ Mississippi State -7.9 145.5 22% 73–64 ✓
Missouri @ Texas A&M +8.1 159.3 81% 86–85 ✗
Liberty @ New Mexico State -3.6 143.0 33% 77–75 ✓
Portland @ San Diego +0.9 151.3 54% 58–71 ✓
Seattle U @ Santa Clara +12.2 140.6 86% 72–84 ✓
Pepperdine @ Saint Mary's +25.1 142.0 91% 60–88 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Pacific +6.5 136.7 77% 59–65 ✓
New Mexico @ Grand Canyon +1.7 143.7 59% 70–64 ✗
Penn State @ Washington +11.8 147.8 87% 63–60 ✗
NJIT @ New Hampshire +1.0 142.0 53% 76–70 ✗
UMBC @ Maine -3.6 131.2 27% 78–62 ✓
Bryant @ UMass Lowell +3.2 138.1 64% 69–88 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ IU Indianapolis -4.4 161.4 29% 84–81 ✓
Vermont @ Binghamton -10.5 137.0 16% 73–65 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Kennesaw State +2.6 149.2 63% 90–87 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.