Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–5 on winners spread MAE 8.7 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Louisville @ Tennessee -0.3 152.8 49% 62–83 ✗
DePaul @ St. John's +15.4 144.4 89% 66–79 ✓
Belmont @ Evansville -12.0 145.6 15% 83–78 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ UNC Greensboro +2.3 146.6 60% 71–65 ✗
Tarleton State @ Mississippi Valley State -10.4 148.2 17% 88–64 ✓
Kansas City @ Oklahoma +22.5 143.7 91% 67–89 ✓
Rider @ Delaware +12.0 133.4 86% 57–65 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Wright State +2.3 148.3 55% 83–76 ✗
Chicago State @ Bowling Green +21.8 146.2 91% 55–76 ✓
Florida State @ Dayton +8.0 153.4 80% 69–97 ✓
Canisius @ Rhode Island +17.9 134.1 90% 45–62 ✓
South Carolina @ Clemson +12.2 142.7 86% 61–68 ✓
Florida International @ Miami +19.9 152.1 90% 81–98 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Lamar +1.4 131.2 57% 83–72 ✗
Marist @ Georgia Tech +0.9 133.6 51% 76–87 ✓
Long Island University @ Mississippi State +8.3 150.4 80% 83–87 ✓
Little Rock @ Morehead State +6.2 139.7 78% 64–78 ✓
East Tennessee State @ North Carolina +13.1 142.8 86% 58–77 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Texas Tech +15.1 150.1 87% 90–101 ✓
Le Moyne @ Texas +18.5 155.1 89% 53–95 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Missouri State +2.6 142.7 63% 62–63 ✓
Valparaiso @ Northwestern +13.6 141.7 87% 70–86 ✓
Butler @ UConn +12.7 146.1 85% 60–79 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Arizona +24.3 140.7 91% 62–96 ✓
Pacific @ BYU +18.7 139.8 89% 57–93 ✓
Queens University @ Arkansas +21.4 165.2 91% 80–108 ✓
Towson @ Kansas +18.2 136.4 89% 49–73 ✓
Montana State @ Cal Poly -0.4 148.2 51% 83–80 ✓
Southern @ California Baptist +11.4 153.5 87% 67–75 ✓
UC San Diego @ Loyola Marymount -1.6 140.7 46% 67–57 ✓
Northern Iowa @ UIC -4.1 132.6 31% 60–54 ✓
Stonehill @ New Hampshire +3.7 134.5 65% 58–59 ✓
Saint Francis @ Florida +24.6 147.7 91% 61–102 ✓
Creighton @ Xavier +5.4 141.8 75% 98–57 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.