I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
38–9 on winners spread MAE 7.5 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Marshall @ Elon +6.4 141.8 73% 59–73 ✓
Pepperdine @ Santa Clara +12.7 150.4 86% 80–91 ✓
Jackson State @ California Baptist +11.8 143.1 86% 73–79 ✓
Pacific @ Saint Mary's +19.8 136.9 90% 60–70 ✓
Washington State @ Portland -14.1 151.6 13% 89–73 ✓
Fresno State @ UNLV +12.4 147.4 86% 77–87 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ San Francisco +13.2 137.5 87% 55–70 ✓
Indiana State @ Ohio State +15.6 161.6 89% 83–103 ✓
Northwestern State @ Texas +22.1 139.0 90% 53–77 ✓
Stetson @ Florida +27.2 156.2 91% 45–85 ✓
Hofstra @ Quinnipiac +1.5 136.9 62% 69–75 ✓
Stonehill @ Lafayette +3.6 140.3 69% 70–65 ✗
Navy @ William & Mary +8.2 153.3 74% 76–82 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Penn State +23.0 148.8 91% 66–86 ✓
Harvard @ Iona +2.6 136.7 53% 67–61 ✗
Northeastern @ Northwestern +15.6 134.8 88% 60–85 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Oklahoma +25.1 161.5 91% 67–89 ✓
Chicago State @ Illinois +28.3 155.4 91% 64–117 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Northern Iowa +11.0 146.7 85% 67–78 ✓
Stony Brook @ UAlbany +7.4 142.5 76% 70–77 ✓
Binghamton @ Marist +6.4 132.7 73% 51–69 ✓
Boston University @ Maine +5.4 131.6 70% 59–56 ✗
Le Moyne @ Niagara +3.9 143.1 70% 69–88 ✓
Norfolk State @ High Point +5.8 142.0 77% 77–74 ✗
Morgan State @ Minnesota +18.4 145.0 89% 68–90 ✓
South Carolina State @ Georgia +21.7 141.3 90% 72–79 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Youngstown State +11.7 142.4 84% 64–73 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Milwaukee +12.3 149.0 87% 81–88 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Robert Morris +0.9 132.4 57% 93–97 ✓
Longwood @ SMU +16.6 152.5 88% 82–98 ✓
South Dakota State @ Alabama +17.3 160.3 87% 82–105 ✓
Belmont @ Drake +10.3 132.5 82% 46–65 ✓
Buffalo @ Temple +12.8 149.6 88% 71–91 ✓
UTSA @ Army +0.6 161.8 49% 75–78 ✓
NJIT @ Washington +20.0 137.4 89% 53–90 ✓
Wright State @ Cleveland State +1.1 138.7 63% 64–78 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Green Bay -8.1 154.0 25% 83–67 ✓
Missouri State @ Evansville -7.5 135.9 23% 40–57 ✗
Valparaiso @ Bradley +14.3 147.1 87% 75–81 ✓
UMBC @ American University +2.8 146.8 60% 96–93 ✗
Winthrop @ Indiana +13.6 158.6 87% 68–77 ✓
Weber State @ Oregon +16.8 144.9 90% 49–89 ✓
St. Thomas @ UC Riverside -0.4 147.4 54% 79–81 ✗
UT Arlington @ Texas State +5.4 144.6 69% 80–72 ✗
UIC @ Illinois State +3.8 145.0 68% 73–67 ✗
Florida A&M @ Tarleton State +4.0 134.3 76% 60–70 ✓
Toledo @ Purdue +15.9 151.5 90% 64–83 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.