← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
19–6 on winners
spread MAE 8.2
25 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coppin State
@
Georgetown
|
+23.2 | 136.0 | 91% | 53–83 | ✓ |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
Maryland
|
+26.9 | 148.7 | 91% | 66–81 | ✓ |
Eastern Kentucky
@
Louisville
|
+13.9 | 152.4 | 87% | 76–78 | ✓ |
Delaware State
@
Saint Joseph's
|
+17.3 | 148.5 | 89% | 58–76 | ✓ |
Ole Miss
@
Memphis
|
+2.4 | 144.5 | 57% | 70–87 | ✓ |
North Carolina Central
@
North Carolina A&T
|
+1.5 | 149.0 | 55% | 72–85 | ✓ |
Mercer
@
Georgia State
|
+1.5 | 153.6 | 52% | 71–68 | ✗ |
Mount St. Mary's
@
George Mason
|
+15.2 | 139.9 | 87% | 56–64 | ✓ |
Alabama A&M
@
Georgia Tech
|
+19.3 | 149.6 | 90% | 49–92 | ✓ |
Loyola Maryland
@
DePaul
|
+12.2 | 145.1 | 87% | 65–84 | ✓ |
Bucknell
@
Syracuse
|
+12.1 | 152.4 | 85% | 63–75 | ✓ |
Eastern Michigan
@
Davidson
|
+14.1 | 145.8 | 88% | 64–86 | ✓ |
New Mexico
@
Colorado State
|
+1.3 | 152.8 | 51% | 76–68 | ✗ |
Abilene Christian
@
Texas A&M
|
+20.5 | 132.4 | 90% | 54–92 | ✓ |
Gonzaga
@
UCLA
|
-4.1 | 144.5 | 37% | 62–65 | ✗ |
Nevada
@
Wyoming
|
-5.4 | 132.4 | 31% | 63–66 | ✗ |
Fairfield
@
Columbia
|
+10.6 | 150.9 | 84% | 72–85 | ✓ |
Fairleigh Dickinson
@
Boston College
|
+12.7 | 147.2 | 87% | 70–78 | ✓ |
Howard
@
Hampton
|
+5.2 | 140.4 | 70% | 67–83 | ✓ |
Boise State
@
San José State
|
-8.1 | 143.7 | 20% | 73–71 | ✓ |
LSU New Orleans
@
McNeese
|
+19.3 | 138.4 | 90% | 61–86 | ✓ |
Utah State
@
San Diego State
|
+2.4 | 138.7 | 53% | 67–66 | ✗ |
Florida Gulf Coast
@
Richmond
|
+0.8 | 141.7 | 54% | 75–57 | ✗ |
Delaware
@
St. John's
|
+21.3 | 161.0 | 90% | 76–97 | ✓ |
Grand Canyon
@
San Diego
|
-10.7 | 141.1 | 16% | 68–55 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.