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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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44–7 on winners spread MAE 8.4 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Charleston Southern @ Longwood +8.0 145.9 83% 78–83 ✓
Texas Tech @ Utah -0.6 149.0 49% 93–65 ✓
Houston Christian @ Lamar +10.5 132.6 86% 61–63 ✓
Louisiana @ Georgia State +2.2 139.4 59% 70–94 ✓
Youngstown State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +5.4 151.7 72% 81–90 ✓
Campbell @ UNC Wilmington +9.8 141.7 84% 69–77 ✓
Hampton @ Elon +7.1 139.2 78% 62–70 ✓
Pepperdine @ Pacific -2.7 146.4 39% 87–70 ✓
San Francisco @ Washington State +3.7 148.5 70% 82–91 ✓
Ohio @ Central Michigan +0.9 146.9 49% 57–55 ✗
Texas @ Texas A&M +5.9 137.4 79% 60–80 ✓
Delaware State @ Howard +2.8 147.6 60% 94–100 ✓
Missouri State @ Bradley +10.9 142.4 86% 60–69 ✓
Michigan @ USC -5.2 145.8 31% 85–74 ✓
UT Arlington @ Tarleton State -6.7 139.6 35% 74–77 ✗
Southern Utah @ Grand Canyon +13.9 149.6 89% 71–82 ✓
Seattle U @ California Baptist +1.3 143.2 60% 59–61 ✓
Denver @ South Dakota +6.5 159.6 74% 84–91 ✓
California @ Clemson +12.4 148.3 86% 68–80 ✓
Gonzaga @ Loyola Marymount -12.4 146.6 16% 96–68 ✓
Fresno State @ Utah State +21.0 157.9 91% 83–89 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton -13.7 140.6 13% 90–51 ✓
Sam Houston @ UTEP +4.3 144.6 74% 72–81 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Bakersfield +5.8 132.4 69% 65–80 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Irvine +10.8 143.5 85% 57–81 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Portland -16.4 140.8 12% 81–58 ✓
Cal Poly @ Hawai'i +5.4 151.1 79% 55–68 ✓
Indiana @ Penn State +7.4 153.6 79% 77–71 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ East Carolina -2.3 153.5 45% 78–76 ✓
Army @ Boston University +4.1 136.9 72% 63–71 ✓
Lehigh @ Loyola Maryland +1.7 144.5 63% 74–80 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Wagner -0.3 129.1 34% 71–59 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Mercyhurst -6.4 128.8 26% 62–50 ✓
Providence @ UConn +13.3 139.5 86% 84–87 ✓
Northwestern @ Purdue +6.7 139.4 75% 61–79 ✓
Stonehill @ Saint Francis +0.7 144.4 51% 64–60 ✗
Lafayette @ Navy +1.5 137.8 58% 70–71 ✓
Holy Cross @ American University +2.0 138.0 63% 64–75 ✓
Colgate @ Bucknell +3.7 139.2 65% 60–66 ✓
Chicago State @ Long Island University +7.6 133.4 83% 39–53 ✓
Iona @ Siena +4.1 138.8 57% 74–73 ✗
Manhattan @ Rider +1.0 146.3 57% 80–79 ✗
Niagara @ Mount St. Mary's +5.6 138.7 76% 62–68 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Marist +1.8 138.3 55% 62–69 ✓
Canisius @ Sacred Heart +9.3 146.9 85% 82–99 ✓
Murray State @ Drake +11.2 122.1 82% 66–59 ✗
Kansas @ UCF -2.1 147.1 42% 99–48 ✓
Maryland @ Oregon +3.4 146.3 74% 79–83 ✓
Illinois @ Washington -8.4 155.8 23% 81–77 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Illinois State +8.2 144.1 80% 54–85 ✓
North Texas @ Memphis +8.9 137.1 80% 64–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.