Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–13 on winners spread MAE 8.4 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Alabama @ South Carolina -7.5 161.4 22% 88–68 ✓
Ole Miss @ Arkansas +2.4 144.1 59% 73–66 ✗
Presbyterian @ South Carolina Upstate -6.3 144.9 25% 67–77 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Longwood +3.2 151.0 70% 76–85 ✓
Winthrop @ Gardner-Webb +1.4 154.5 60% 83–89 ✓
High Point @ Charleston Southern -5.9 148.7 30% 93–79 ✓
Colorado @ UCF +2.5 147.3 69% 74–75 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Charlotte -7.1 156.1 30% 75–64 ✓
Temple @ East Carolina +1.0 147.4 61% 79–80 ✓
Florida State @ Miami -1.1 152.1 40% 80–65 ✓
Notre Dame @ NC State +3.6 136.9 73% 65–66 ✓
George Washington @ Rhode Island +4.6 148.6 76% 75–67 ✗
Richmond @ George Mason +12.8 135.7 86% 58–64 ✓
Fordham @ VCU +16.9 147.6 89% 61–73 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Duquesne +0.5 131.2 52% 81–85 ✓
Dayton @ Massachusetts -8.7 144.9 21% 72–76 ✗
Murray State @ Northern Iowa +5.7 139.3 73% 71–68 ✗
Drake @ Bradley +2.7 127.3 48% 64–57 ✗
Lehigh @ Colgate +3.0 138.2 68% 62–67 ✓
American University @ Boston University +3.5 130.2 66% 54–60 ✓
Lafayette @ Bucknell +3.3 138.1 66% 62–65 ✓
USC @ Indiana +7.3 146.3 75% 69–82 ✓
Cleveland State @ Robert Morris +1.6 141.6 50% 80–69 ✗
Milwaukee @ Purdue Fort Wayne +2.3 149.9 66% 73–78 ✓
Western Carolina @ Wofford +13.8 142.2 87% 69–77 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Mercer -1.8 149.4 38% 70–68 ✓
Furman @ The Citadel -12.5 138.6 15% 67–63 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Belmont +9.7 154.1 83% 86–90 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Louis -2.6 135.9 39% 68–73 ✗
Indiana State @ Valparaiso +1.1 159.6 62% 95–98 ✓
Illinois State @ Evansville -7.5 135.0 23% 51–69 ✗
Butler @ Providence +3.1 137.3 67% 65–84 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State +3.2 148.7 69% 78–82 ✓
Texas A&M @ Oklahoma +1.0 140.8 52% 80–78 ✗
Arizona State @ Kansas +11.9 142.5 84% 55–74 ✓
Penn State @ Illinois +12.1 160.9 82% 52–91 ✓
San Diego @ Gonzaga +25.1 155.9 91% 80–93 ✓
Rice @ North Texas +10.5 124.4 83% 59–81 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Stanford +7.6 139.3 80% 59–70 ✓
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas +2.3 151.4 65% 72–73 ✓
Kansas City @ Omaha +0.8 138.2 47% 58–77 ✓
Air Force @ San Diego State +19.9 129.8 90% 38–67 ✓
Virginia @ California +2.9 131.4 61% 61–75 ✓
Morehead State @ Little Rock +5.2 131.1 67% 59–53 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Chattanooga -1.2 141.9 43% 78–75 ✓
Oregon @ Ohio State +2.9 151.7 63% 73–71 ✗
Purdue @ Rutgers -3.9 148.2 25% 68–50 ✓
Binghamton @ Maine +4.7 134.0 70% 71–82 ✓
Vermont @ UMass Lowell +6.7 138.0 71% 67–63 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ IU Indianapolis +2.8 141.1 63% 61–95 ✓
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine -8.5 139.9 17% 74–59 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.