We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–19 on winners spread MAE 8.1 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Central Arkansas @ Stetson +1.8 152.4 60% 65–75 ✓
UMBC @ NJIT -6.6 144.5 21% 87–64 ✓
UAlbany @ New Hampshire -8.0 139.6 19% 61–57 ✓
James Madison @ Marshall -0.4 138.6 52% 78–80 ✗
Texas State @ Troy +6.5 133.9 77% 74–73 ✗
Oakland @ Wright State +3.3 139.8 66% 62–66 ✓
Charleston @ Hofstra +0.6 141.5 48% 67–61 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Monmouth -3.7 142.4 35% 64–55 ✓
Campbell @ Hampton +5.1 135.7 66% 66–55 ✗
Elon @ William & Mary -0.2 149.3 57% 65–78 ✗
Delaware @ North Carolina A&T -3.4 160.3 39% 98–88 ✓
Drexel @ Stony Brook -7.0 131.5 30% 67–51 ✓
Northeastern @ Towson +1.2 129.9 60% 73–80 ✓
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +1.7 143.3 58% 70–75 ✓
North Florida @ Eastern Kentucky +4.2 160.7 81% 74–79 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee +6.1 151.6 76% 79–84 ✓
Florida International @ Louisiana Tech +7.7 137.1 78% 64–81 ✓
Old Dominion @ Louisiana +4.9 142.1 66% 71–60 ✗
UL Monroe @ Southern Miss +5.2 141.6 70% 67–84 ✓
Queens University @ Lipscomb +14.0 150.3 87% 75–73 ✗
West Georgia @ Austin Peay +4.6 133.5 51% 72–68 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Utah Valley -0.0 141.5 43% 64–72 ✗
North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -10.5 156.0 19% 110–96 ✓
VMI @ Samford +16.5 153.8 89% 68–81 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Western Kentucky +2.3 148.9 66% 73–67 ✗
Washington @ Michigan State +12.7 145.8 87% 54–88 ✓
Arkansas State @ South Alabama +3.1 139.5 64% 62–76 ✓
Tarleton State @ Southern Utah +6.8 134.1 71% 74–66 ✗
UT Martin @ Western Illinois -1.1 134.8 38% 85–83 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Southeast Missouri State +6.6 140.6 78% 66–77 ✓
Tennessee State @ Lindenwood +2.2 149.2 57% 62–72 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Eastern Illinois +0.8 143.9 58% 69–64 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Montana +6.4 150.4 76% 76–81 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana State +0.7 151.7 50% 83–82 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis +7.9 133.1 81% 53–63 ✓
UT Arlington @ Utah Tech -3.0 150.0 45% 62–74 ✗
North Dakota @ Denver +0.1 152.0 42% 95–70 ✗
Liberty @ Sam Houston -4.9 142.3 33% 76–68 ✓
Pacific @ Washington State +18.3 150.0 88% 95–94 ✗
Idaho @ Sacramento State -2.5 132.0 41% 80–67 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Portland State +2.5 142.9 59% 59–64 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +17.4 157.6 90% 68–95 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Riverside +2.0 137.4 67% 83–76 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Santa Barbara +4.6 130.9 68% 66–78 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Northridge -1.4 147.6 47% 77–67 ✓
Oregon State @ Santa Clara +2.9 144.7 73% 81–82 ✓
Portland @ San Francisco +18.8 148.3 91% 72–81 ✓
Merrimack @ Sacred Heart +0.1 137.7 41% 66–65 ✗
Kent State @ Buffalo -11.4 139.0 15% 68–49 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Niagara -0.5 129.1 46% 60–70 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.