Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–12 on winners spread MAE 9.1 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Colorado State @ Fresno State -9.7 149.4 17% 69–64 ✓
Florida State @ Stanford +3.8 144.0 73% 71–78 ✓
Lafayette @ Lehigh +0.4 135.7 53% 47–86 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Lamar +10.6 135.0 85% 58–61 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Old Dominion +1.7 133.5 58% 52–74 ✓
Charleston @ Elon +1.7 148.0 60% 76–62 ✗
Hampton @ UNC Wilmington +11.7 140.5 86% 62–83 ✓
Austin Peay @ North Alabama +10.6 144.2 85% 84–88 ✓
Western Michigan @ Central Michigan +5.2 143.2 68% 52–73 ✓
Merrimack @ Fairfield -3.6 130.5 32% 75–54 ✓
Wyoming @ San José State +1.4 132.0 56% 58–67 ✓
Grambling @ Mississippi Valley State -12.7 124.9 12% 65–54 ✓
UConn @ Xavier +0.8 143.0 42% 72–76 ✓
Southern Miss @ Louisiana -0.8 143.6 50% 67–59 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Washington State -3.8 143.7 28% 80–75 ✓
Gonzaga @ Portland -15.1 164.3 12% 105–62 ✓
St. Thomas @ Kansas City -1.3 146.2 47% 68–65 ✓
Omaha @ Oral Roberts -4.7 150.2 30% 84–76 ✓
Tennessee @ Auburn +8.3 136.1 81% 51–53 ✓
LSU @ Alabama +13.3 163.0 87% 73–80 ✓
Miami @ California +8.5 148.1 84% 94–98 ✓
Oklahoma @ Arkansas +3.5 145.3 69% 65–62 ✗
California Baptist @ Southern Utah -2.8 138.8 37% 76–60 ✓
Montana State @ Montana +1.1 141.7 60% 70–77 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Fullerton -6.6 132.0 29% 83–75 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Utah Tech -10.2 146.8 16% 79–66 ✓
Kennesaw State @ UTEP +3.6 147.3 69% 71–73 ✓
Jacksonville State @ New Mexico State +0.9 136.8 56% 65–59 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal State Bakersfield +0.2 143.7 48% 83–79 ✗
San Diego State @ Nevada +2.0 131.3 63% 69–50 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Irvine +11.3 142.6 87% 55–71 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC San Diego +9.5 148.3 85% 54–79 ✓
San Diego @ San Francisco +16.9 144.6 89% 69–81 ✓
Pacific @ Pepperdine +7.8 142.5 80% 44–60 ✓
Utah Valley @ Seattle U +1.2 135.9 59% 70–66 ✗
Cincinnati @ BYU +5.1 134.9 81% 52–80 ✓
Duquesne @ Fordham -3.3 144.1 38% 63–65 ✗
Maryland @ Indiana -4.0 147.0 35% 79–78 ✓
Nebraska @ Wisconsin +9.4 148.6 81% 55–83 ✓
UAB @ Memphis +9.9 156.5 82% 77–100 ✓
Long Island University @ Mercyhurst -1.0 126.4 49% 80–85 ✗
Chicago State @ Central Connecticut +12.8 133.1 87% 64–81 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ North Texas +9.5 138.2 83% 64–77 ✓
Wagner @ Saint Francis +2.0 128.3 51% 68–66 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Stonehill +4.1 141.8 58% 65–54 ✗
Northwestern @ Illinois +12.1 152.4 86% 74–83 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech +16.7 143.5 90% 54–64 ✓
Wichita State @ Tulsa -3.1 147.2 39% 77–84 ✗
Navy @ Army +3.0 143.7 58% 66–53 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.