And with the way you look I understand you're not impressed. "Alison" - Elvis Costello
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–9 on winners spread MAE 10.0 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Miami -15.7 152.0 13% 97–60 ✓
Florida @ Georgia -5.2 147.3 31% 83–88 ✗
Providence @ Marquette +11.8 146.2 87% 52–82 ✓
Army @ Lafayette +3.4 141.1 70% 65–81 ✓
Baylor @ Cincinnati +0.1 140.4 52% 67–69 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh +11.0 146.8 83% 73–67 ✗
VCU @ Richmond -13.4 138.0 15% 78–60 ✓
Saint Louis @ Davidson +1.5 142.8 65% 57–56 ✗
Northwestern @ Minnesota -0.2 133.0 45% 75–63 ✓
Old Dominion @ Marshall +8.4 148.0 82% 66–83 ✓
App State @ Georgia Southern -3.0 139.3 46% 59–61 ✗
Toledo @ Kent State +6.4 146.3 73% 65–105 ✓
Ohio @ Western Michigan -4.0 150.4 38% 73–82 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Miami (OH) +13.2 152.0 85% 58–87 ✓
Buffalo @ Central Michigan +12.4 148.4 87% 69–73 ✓
Akron @ Ball State -6.2 156.4 26% 87–82 ✓
James Madison @ UL Monroe -10.4 142.6 15% 85–79 ✓
Iowa State @ Oklahoma State -10.2 146.9 18% 68–74 ✗
Indiana State @ Murray State +4.3 151.0 71% 75–85 ✓
Illinois State @ Southern Illinois +0.5 143.1 54% 79–88 ✓
Troy @ Texas State -3.4 135.7 37% 74–69 ✓
Lindenwood @ Western Illinois +0.7 141.1 52% 81–86 ✓
Tennessee @ LSU -8.0 137.0 18% 65–59 ✓
Mississippi State @ Alabama +9.1 170.1 79% 73–111 ✓
Washington @ Wisconsin +13.6 155.2 88% 62–88 ✓
South Carolina @ Missouri +10.5 148.9 87% 71–101 ✓
Louisville @ Virginia Tech -9.1 144.0 21% 71–66 ✓
TCU @ West Virginia +4.6 131.9 66% 55–73 ✓
Colorado State @ Air Force -13.8 134.7 13% 77–55 ✓
Iowa @ Illinois +12.4 166.3 86% 61–81 ✓
UNLV @ San José State -3.1 138.1 35% 77–71 ✓
Wyoming @ Nevada +11.3 132.5 86% 61–84 ✓
New Mexico @ San Diego State +2.3 141.2 63% 65–73 ✓
Gonzaga @ Santa Clara -3.9 159.9 33% 95–76 ✓
Boston University @ Lehigh +1.7 129.8 56% 79–68 ✗
Mercer @ East Tennessee State +9.4 143.7 83% 58–59 ✓
Michigan State @ Maryland +3.9 147.5 64% 58–55 ✗
Presbyterian @ UNC Asheville +6.0 146.0 72% 64–59 ✗
Duquesne @ La Salle -2.3 138.6 40% 67–62 ✓
Georgetown @ UConn +12.6 140.6 86% 79–93 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.